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The Statistical Value of Injury Risk in Pakistan’s Construction and Manufacturing Sectors
Ahmad Mujtaba Khan and Asma Hyder
Published:Jan - June 2017
Although health and safety regulations are a key aspect of labor market policymaking, very few studies have examined compensating wage differentials and the statistical value of injury in Pakistan’s context. This study looks at injury risk against occupation and industry, using data from the Labor Force Survey for 2013/14. We target five blue-collar occupations in two industries (construction and manufacturing), which tend to account for the highest number of injuries. However, we find that the statistical value of injury in these occupations is too small to reflect the wage premium that workers should be paid for risky jobs.
KEYWORDS:
industry,
labor market conditions,
public policy,
Pakistan.
JEL:
O14.
Published:Jan - June 2017
The literature on industrial organization shows that geographic and industrial concentration affects firm turnover. This study conducts a firm-level analysis to gauge the impact of agglomeration on firm entry and exit in domestic industries in Punjab, Pakistan. It also illustrates how certain industries exist in clusters while others are highly dispersed. The results suggest that higher rates of firm entry and exit are associated with highly agglomerated industries.
KEYWORDS:
agglomeration,
firm entry,
firm exit.
JEL:
D22,
L16.
Corporate Financial Leverage, Asset Utilization and Nonperforming Loans in Pakistan
Ijaz Hussain
Published:Jan - June 2017
This study applies panel least squares and fixed effects to a sample of 40 banks for the period 2006–14 to identify the key determinants of nonperforming loans (NPLs) in Pakistan. The findings suggest that, in addition to some macroeconomic and bank-specific variables, the corporate debt–equity ratio and financial burden have a positive, significant impact on NPLs, while corporate asset utilization and the diversification of bank activities significantly reduce the volume of NPLs. This has policy implications not only for the federal government, but also for bank managers, regulators and policy advisors.
KEYWORDS:
nonperforming loans,
bank asset quality,
diversification,
Pakistan.
JEL:
G21,
G28,
G00.
Is There a Causal Relationship Between Financial Markets in Asia and the US?
Amalendu Bhunia and Devrim Yaman
Published:Jan - June 2017
This study examines whether there is a causal relationship between selected stock markets in Asia and the US. Based on stock values from a sample of nine Asian stock markets, we find a positive correlation with US stock market prices in most cases, the exception being Vietnam. Our results indicate significant long-run and short-run causality in both directions between the Asian and US stock markets. These findings show that, while both sets of markets are integrated, there are still valuable opportunities for international investors to diversify their portfolios in the US and Asia.
KEYWORDS:
stock market,
short and long term causality,
Asia,
USA.
JEL:
F21.
The Impact of Rural Electrification on Education: A Case Study from Peru
Julio Aguirre
Published:Jan - June 2017
This study examines the indirect impact of rural electrification on education. It finds that the greater the likelihood of a household being connected to the electricity grid, the more time the household’s children are likely to spend studying at home. This finding is interpreted as indirect evidence of an improvement in levels of schooling. Using instrumental variables to overcome endogeneity problems, the study’s LATE estimates reveal that providing households with access to electricity leads to children studying an extra 94 - 137 minutes at home per day, on average.
KEYWORDS:
rural electrification,
infrastructure,
education,
Peru.
JEL:
O12,
C31,
C81.
Deprivation Counts: An Assessment of Energy Poverty in Pakistan
Rafat Mahmood and Anwar Shah
Published:Jan - June 2017
This paper examines the energy–poverty nexus in Pakistan at the national and provincial level, using the multidimensional energy poverty index. Based on data from the Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey for 2010/11, we find that the average household in Pakistan is 26.4 percent energy-poor. The study shows that the incidence of energy poverty is higher in rural areas than in urban areas, with a similar trend at the provincial level. A comparison with findings based on data from 2008/09 shows a slight decrease in energy poverty at the national level.
KEYWORDS:
energy,
poverty,
households,
Pakistan.
JEL:
Q01.
The Magnitude of Trade Misinvoicing and Resulting Revenue Loss in Pakistan
Tehseen Ahmed Qureshi and Zafar Mahmood
Published:July - Dec 2016
This study estimates the magnitude of trade misinvoicing in Pakistan with 21 of its developed trading partners in 52 major traded commodities during 1972–2013. We find that the total volume of trade misinvoicing for this period exceeds US$92.7 billion. The gross revenue loss borne by the national exchequer due to trade misinvoicing is estimated at US$21.2 billion. Moreover, the total net revenue loss is an estimated US$11 billion in the form of evasion of customs duties and export withholding tax. The annual average net revenue loss due to trade misinvoicing is almost equivalent to 11.2 percent of the total revenue generated from customs tariffs. We also find that customs tariffs and the interest rate are positively associated with import under-invoicing, while improvements in the current account balance and political stability reduce the extent of import over-invoicing. Capital account openness is found to be insignificant in determining trade misinvoicing.
KEYWORDS:
Trade misinvoicing,
revenue loss,
capital flight,
reverse capital flight,
black money,
Pakistan.
JEL:
F14,
K20,
F13,
H26,
O17.
Is the Value Addition in Services and Manufacturing Complementary? Empirical Evidence from SAARC
Mirajul Haq, Syed Kafait Hussain Naqvi and Muhammad Luqman
Published:July - Dec 2016
Most empirical studies on sectoral change provide evidence in favor of the complementarities between manufacturing and services, claiming that both sectors generally grow in parallel. This study investigates the complementarities hypothesis for the SAARC countries, which have dominant services sectors but have not graduated to industrial status. We ask whether the rapid growth and value addition of services presents an opportunity or threat for value addition in manufacturing, when the latter sector is still at a premature stage. Our findings do not validate the complementarities between manufacturing and services overall in the case of the SAARC countries. However, there appear to be potential complementarities once services is interacted with trade variables.
KEYWORDS:
Manufacturing sector,
services sector,
economic growth,
SAARC.
JEL:
O47,
O14,
N65.
Assessing the Effects of Fiscal Decentralization on the Education Sector: A Cross-Country Analysis
Iftikhar Ahmad
Published:July - Dec 2016
This paper examines the effects of fiscal decentralization on the education sector for a sample of 62 countries. The results suggest that different sources of fiscal decentralization have distinct effects on education expenditure and quality. While subnational governments that are financed through own-tax revenues are more likely to increase the funds allocated to education, they also seem less concerned with maintaining teaching quality. This study provides evidence that decentralized structures cater better to local social needs. Fiscal decentralization is, therefore, an important policy instrument for achieving social goals.
KEYWORDS:
Fiscal decentralization,
education expenditure,
teaching quality,
panel data.
JEL:
I21,
H40,
H52,
H75,
H71.
The Diversification Puzzle: The Role of Asymmetric Information and Insider Trading in Pakistan
Mushtaq Hussain Khan, Ahmad Fraz and Arshad Hassan
Published:July - Dec 2016
While corporate diversification is a fundamental issue both in the management literature and in corporate policy, the question that remains is whether it destroys or enhances firm value. This empirical study of the corporate diversification–value relationship for Pakistani firms looks at the role of asymmetric information and insider trading over a 10-year sample period, 2005–14. Using the industrial entropy index and purchase ratio to capture corporate diversification and insider trading, respectively, the study provides empirical evidence that questions the agency theory-based explanation of the corporate diversification–value relationship. Our results show that, in cases of asymmetric information, insiders increase the purchase of their firms’ shares in the open market when diversification is high. This contradicts the corporate diversification–value destruction stance of agency theory as well as the idea that outside investors’ undervaluation occurs due to information asymmetries. These results have strategic implications for corporate diversification strategies and are relevant to firm managers, regulators and shareholders.
KEYWORDS:
Corporate diversification,
agency effect,
information asymmetry,
insider trading,
Pakistan.
JEL:
G32,
G14.