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An Analysis of Economies of Scope in Irrigated Agriculture in the Punjab (Pakistan)
Haq Nawaz Shah
Published:July - Dec 2002
In this paper scope economies for a sample of 387 farms in the Punjab
province of Pakistan were estimated using nonparametric techniques and
sources of economies of scope were determined by using econometric
techniques. The result indicated that diversified farming in crop, livestock and
custom hiring enterprises results in cost savings of 17.81% for all enterprises,
17.36% in the crop sector, 15.84% in the livestock sector and 1.90% for
custom hiring. Econometric results indicate that overall economies of scope are
inversely related to farm size, positively to location of farms nearer to the head
reaches of canals and positively to the amount of capital used on a farm. The
existence of Scope economies in Pakistan agriculture implies that production
functions in agriculture are interdependent and the effects of Government
policy of setting support prices of individual crops may affect resource
allocation with respect to other crops on the same farms.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, economies of scope, cost savings, joint production, economies of scope, farming, farm machinery services.
JEL:
N/A.
Economic and Social Determinants of Child Labour: A Case Study of Dera Ismail Khan, Pakistan
M. Aslam Chaudhary and Farzana Naheed Khan
Published:July - Dec 2002
This paper identifies important economic and social determinants of child labour, taking grassroots level data on the working children of Dera Ismail Khan City of Pakistan. Working conditions and their impact on child health are also identified. The variables like fertility, adult literacy and schooling system etc., are empirically examined. The analysis shows that poverty is the main cause of child labour in the city while other factors such as fertility, family size, adult illiteracy and schooling system also contribute to the supply of child labour. The situation is comparatively less serious for female child labour, showing the importance of traditional factors, which restrict females from working outside their homes. The social system of the area does not allow female children to work outside the home. Therefore, female child labour is not wide spread in the city, which is contradictory to the findings of the national survey on child labour. Thus, national surveys do not accurately represent regional child labour by sex. The present study has been carried out in an area which is backward and where child labour is wide spread. Moreover, large family size and poor schooling are also keeping children away from school since parents think that poor quality education does not add to the children’s ability to improve their productivity. Additionally, working conditions for the children were analysed. The children work for the longest hours and are the worst paid of all labourers in the city. Child labour results indicated that working conditions were poor and dangerous and harmed children by ruining their eyesight, bone deformations, chronic lung diseases, and sometimes resulted in the death of children. In addition, the attitude of the bosses was also harsh towards young child labourers. These outcomes call for an effective policy to eliminate poverty. The policy requires spreading literacy and introducing effective and quality education that can lead to skill training, which in turn improves the productivity of children. Poor parents’ income may also be compensated to successfully eliminate child labour. Population control programmes need to be made more effective to
control family size. Such programmes may be introduced through schools
and adult literacy programmes.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, child labour, determinants, household, primary health, working conditions.
JEL:
N/A.
Private Schooling - A Quality Puzzle
Karamat Ali and Rana Ejaz Ali Khan
Published:July - Dec 2002
Primary school enrollment rates in Pakistan are lower than in other
countries at the same level of economic development. The proportion of
children reaching grade 5 is about half that in Sri Lanka and China and
three-quarter that in India. Nationally, the gross primary school ratio is 74,
and 101 for boys and 45 for girls. According to the National Education
Policy 1992-2002, the target of literacy rate was set at 70 percent by the
year 2002, which was achievable besides other measures, by inviting the
private sector into education. Now, overall, private education accounts for
about 10-12 percent of gross enrollments. The government of Pakistan has
established a goal of universal primary enrollment by the year 2006. In the
present study the quality characteristics of private schooling are discussed,
i.e. qualitative aspects of schools, physical infrastructure of schools, teachers’
qualification and salaries, and fee, dropout rate, and repletion rate of the
students, etc.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, Primary school enrollment, education, economic development, privately run institutions, government, state.
JEL:
N/A.
Performance of Commercial Banks in Pakistan: A Study in Risk Analysis
Salman Ahmad
Published:July - Dec 2002
The financial sector in Pakistan has evolved over the years in
response to the growth of the economy and the government’s plans for the
growth and development of the country. The sector as on 31 March 2002
comprises the State Bank of Pakistan, 4 state-owned banks, 2 newly
privatised banks, 4 specialised banks, 14 private scheduled banks, about 30
leasing companies, 45 Modarabas, 14 investment banks, 3 stock exchanges,
58 insurance companies, and Government Saving Centers.
Commercial banks were nationalised in 1974 and are now in the
process of being privatised. Two nationalised commercial banks have been
privatised since 1990: Muslim Commercial Bank was sold by auction/
negotiation, while Allied Bank was sold to its employees .The market share
of the nationalised commercial banks has been declining with the
introduction of new private banks.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, commercial banks, risk analysis, foreign banks, domestic banks, growth, gross revenue.
JEL:
N/A.
On the Estimation of an Absolute Poverty Line: An Empirical Appraisal
Haroon Jamal
Published:July - Dec 2002
The fad that different studies seeking to measure poverty in a given
country often give differing results, although they apparently use the same
method and same data source, has long disconcerted both experts in the field
and the public in general. Such differences regarding poverty incidences reduce
the credibility and technical reliability of these measurements, shed doubts on
estimates of the level and evolution of poverty, and hinders inter-temporal
comparisons. That is why it is important to foster greater consensus among
researchers regarding the criteria and procedure to be used, with a view to
progressing towards a common pattern, which will make the measurements more
consistent and homogeneous, and guarantee their effective comparability. This
policy paper provides a recommended strategy for estimating an absolute poverty
line using household survey data of the years 1987-88, 1996-97 and 1998.
KEYWORDS:
Poverty, income poverty, macro perspective, poverty incidence, Pakistan.
JEL:
N/A.
An Analysis of Male Internal Migration and Its Correlation to Employment Status: Evidence from the Punjab
Muhammad Akram, Lubna Shahnaz and Surayya
Published:July - Dec 2002
Migration plays a pivotal role in the reallocation of human resources
under changing demand and supply conditions. Migration takes place when
an individual decides that it is preferable to move rather than to stay and
where the difficulties of moving seem to be less than the expected rewards.
In recent years there has been a trend of increasing migration rates. The
United Nations (2000) estimates that about 140 million persons (roughly 2
per cent of the world’s population) reside in a country where they are not
born.1
Usually migration takes place from the regions that are associated
with poverty and insecurity towards regions which offer greater security of
life, employment and basic social services. Poverty pushes people to migrate
to urban areas-the outcome, the world’s urban population approaches 2.3
billion by 1990 with 61 per cent living in the metropolitan areas of
developing countries and touches 66 per cent in 2000 (United Nations).
Within the world Asia has about 15 of the largest cities of the world and
most of them are growing at more than 5 per cent per annum. Increased
rate of natural growth, immigration and rural-urban migration might be the
causes of such a high rate of growth of urban population.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, Punjab, internal migration, gender, male, employment, unemployment.
JEL:
N/A.
Review Essay: The IMF and the Argentine Meltdown - What Went Wrong and the Lessons Learnt
Shalendra D. Sharma
Published:July - Dec 2002
When Carlos Saul Menem was elected Argentina’s president in May
1989, the economy was already under the punishing throes of
hyperinflation. To salvage investor confidence and stabilise the economy, the
government resorted to a desperate measure. In March 1991 the Congress
passed the “convertibility law” establishing the convertibility of the austral
(the Argentine currency since 1985) at a rate of 10,000 australes per U.S.
dollar. In January 1992, the peso replaced the austral (1 peso for 10,000
australes). Under this arrangement (a form of a currency board system),
outflows of foreign currency reserves had to be matched by reductions in
the domestic monetary base. The domestic currency could be issued only in
exchange for a specified foreign currency at a fixed rate. The convertibility
plan allowed the use of either U.S. dollars or Argentine pesos in any
transactions except wage and tax payments. Most importantly, the
peso/dollar exchange rate was pegged at one to one with full convertibility
between the two currencies. This meant that the public could go to the
Argentine central bank and exchange a peso for a dollar, or vice-versa, at
any time.
KEYWORDS:
Review essay, IMF, Argentina, discretionary lending powers, fiscal policy, meltdown.
JEL:
N/A.
Book Reviews: Frontiers of Development Economics: The Future In Perspective
Qais Aslam
Published:July - Dec 2002
The book consists of revised papers and commentary from the
symposium "The Future of Development Economics" held in Dubrovnik in
May 1999 and sponsored by the University of Zagreb and the World Bank.
Nicholas Stem has written the forward to the book.
In the Introduction: Ideas for Development, G. M. Meier notes that
" Over the past Half-Century, we have witnessed an unprecedented effort by
the international community to accelerate the development of poor
countries. This effort has been based on evolution in thinking about
economic development - its nature, its causes, and the choice of policies for
improving the rate and quality of the development process. Although the
development record exhibits many successes, there are also failures and
disappointed expectations". He further points out "No formula exists for
development. Aid alone cannot yield development".
KEYWORDS:
Book review, development economics, general economic theory, governance, institutions, regulatory policies, next generation, growth.
JEL:
N/A.
Book Reviews: Trade, Technology and International Competitiveness
Rukhsana Shah
Published:July - Dec 2002
Haque Irfan ul Ed. Trade, Technology and International Competitiveness
Economic Development Institute of the World Bank, Washington DC, 1995
pp 218.
The book deals with the issue of international competitiveness and
why developing countries need to look at this aspect of world trade in the
context of their aspirations and limitations, keeping in mind the fact that
the global economic system is becoming more and more unipolar and
sophisticated. Haque’s book consists of papers by a number of well-known
economists and policy anaylists, all of whom deal in detail with the present
scenario of world trade and the lessons learnt from the past.
KEYWORDS:
Book review, international competitiveness, technology, external environment, macro-economics, policy.
JEL:
N/A.
Foreign Capital and Economic Performance of Pakistan
Minh Hang Le and Ali Ataullah
Published:Jan - June 2002
This paper reviews the trends of two types of foreign capital
inflows, namely foreign aid and foreign private investment, to Pakistan.
Like other developing countries, the volume of foreign aid to Pakistan has
been decreasing. Meanwhile foreign private investment to Pakistan has
increased, though not as sharply as that to other developing Asian
countries. The study finds that the impacts of foreign capital, aid and
private investment on the economic performance of Pakistan have been
insignificant. This paper suggests that these consequences are due to the
inadequate development of domestic institutional structure, human capital,
and indigenous entrepreneurship.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, economic performance, capital, foreign capital, productivity, inflows, developing world, foreign aid, FDI.
JEL:
N/A.