Modify your search
Modify your search
Published:July - Dec 2000
S. Akbar Zaidi, Issues in Pakistan’s Economy, Oxford University Press,
Karachi, 1999. 462 pp. Price: Pak Rs. 450/-.
In the last five decades, Pakistan’s economy has, as they say, gone
places. Undoubtedly, this economy is much more broad-based, with
increases in productivity in all sectors, incomes (even if nobody believes it),
trade, infrastructure, social sectors. Living standards and consumption levels
and patterns are more diversified than those in the early years, though the
benefits are unevenly distributed. Such disparity and imbalances created
additional complications because of a rise in expectations, which is
invariably faster than production capacity and income increases. Developing
countries, soft societies as these are, must face problems emerging from the
resulting frustrations and frictions.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, economy, distribution, economic situation.
JEL:
N/A.
The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan: An Econometric Analysis
Mohammad Hanif Akhtar
Published:Jan - June 2000
This study contributes to an understanding of locational determinants
of FDI in Pakistan. Although there exists a great deal of literature in this area,
there is hardly any evidence of such a study in the case of Pakistan. Economy
level analyses are carried out to explore the determinants of FDI through
multivariate regression analysis. The results of the multivariate regression
analyses reveal that market size, relative interest rates and exchange rates are
the major determinants of FDI in Pakistan. The variables such as market
growth and political instability were consistently insignificant in the analyses.
However, mixed findings were revealed by the variables such as consumer
goods imports and the political regime in Pakistan.
KEYWORDS:
Locational determinants, consumer good imports, market development, transnational corporations, foreign direct investment, FDI, Pakistan.
JEL:
N/A.
Significance of the Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Sector in Pakistan and Assessment of its Employment Potential
Shahid Amjad Chaudhry
Published:Jan - June 2000
Definitions: In this paper it is proposed to use the definition of selfemployed, small scale (2-9 employees), medium scale (10-99 employees) and
large scale (100 employees and above) to discuss the issues relating to the
Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) sector in Pakistan. The national
pension (regulated through the Employees Old Age Benefit Institution
Legislation) and health insurance (The Provincial Social Security Institutions
Legislation) is applicable to institutions with 10 or more employees and
provides a natural cut off point between the small scale and medium and
large scale sectors. The cut off between the medium and large scale at 100
workers is also appropriate.
Sources: Major sources of data were the: (i) The Census of Establishment
1988; (ii) The Labour Force Survey 91-92; (iii) The Report of the National
Manpower Commission 1991; (iv) The Employment and Management
Situation in Pakistan (ILO) 1997 and (v) The Economic Survey 1997-98. A
large number of other sources were also used as required and these are
indicated wherever possible.
KEYWORDS:
SME, Pakistan, structure of employment, urban employment, rural employment, employment potential.
JEL:
N/A.
Uruguay Round Agreement: The Interface Between Anti Dumping and Competition
Kishwar Khan and Sarwat Aftab
Published:Jan - June 2000
All the provisions of the Uruguay Round Agreements have a bearing
upon competition policy, since the international framework governing trade
determines the extent of competition in the national markets. Apart from
the fundamental provisions of GATT Articles I (MFN treatment), III
(National Treatment) and X (Transparency), there are numerous specific
WTO provisions which are relevant in varying degrees to competition2
• GATT Article VI and the WTO Agreement on Antidumping which
involves concept of injury, treatment of price discrimination, public
interest, etc;
• GATT Article XVI and the WTO Agreement on Subsidies and
Countervailing Measures such as concept of injury;
• Agreement on TRIMs; requiring the elimination of deletion
programme and local content requirements;
• Agreement on TRIPs involving anti-competitive practices in
contractual licenses, etc.
KEYWORDS:
Uruguay agreement, WTO Agreement on Antidumping, GATT, anti dumping, competition policy.
JEL:
N/A.
On the validity of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Hassan Naqvi
Published:Jan - June 2000
One of the most important developments of modern finance is the
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of Sharpe, Lintner and Mossin.
Although the model has been the subject of several academic papers, it is
still exposed to theoretical and empirical criticisms.
The CAPM is based on Markowitz’s (1959) mean variance analysis.
Markowitz demonstrated that rational investors would hold assets, which
offer the highest possible return for a given level of risk, or conversely assets
with the minimum level of risk for a specific level of return.
KEYWORDS:
Capital asset pricing, CAP, equilibrium, single-period maximisers, empirical tests, asset pricing theory.
JEL:
N/A.
The Day of the Week Effect in the Pakistani Equity Market: An Investigation
Fazal Husain
Published:Jan - June 2000
An active area of investigation in finance literature is to explore the
existence of a pattern in stock returns. A predictable pattern is evidence
against market efficiency. Even if the pattern does not seem to affect the
stock returns directly, it can provide useful clues to investors concerning
their investment decision.
One of the significant patterns identified is the day of the week
effect which implies that stock returns are not distributed identically across
the days. For example, in the U.S. capital market, rates of return on
Mondays tend to be negative while those on Fridays tend to be high. Cross
(1973), French (1980), Gibbons and Hess (1981), Keim and Stambagh (1984)
and others consistently observed lowest returns on Mondays, termed as the
‘Monday effect’.
KEYWORDS:
Equity markets, capital markets, stock returns, liberalisation, Pakistan, trading.
JEL:
N/A.
Postmodernism/Poststructuralism: A Theoretical Perspective
Saeeda Shah
Published:Jan - June 2000
In a world of multiple causes and effects, looking for black and
white is turning a blind eye to limitless shades and colours created at
diverse intersections. Any particular phenomenon is shaped by historical and
cultural specifications interacting in a complex way. Putting these into neat
categories across sharp divisions hampers the possibilities of knowledge that
can be formulated at limitless points and interstices. Traditional Western
philosophical thought was constructed around dualities and dichotomies that
imposed “homogeneity and identity upon the heterogeneity of material”
(BenHabib: 1992: 208). Post-structural epistemology involves attention to
diversity, plurality and relations of power. It offers possibilities by opening
spaces for voice/s, and provides a framework to position the ‘subjects’.
According to Gaby Weiner, two aims of post-structuralism are:
KEYWORDS:
Postmodernism, poststructualism, metanarratives, discourse formations.
JEL:
N/A.
Developed Countries’ (DC) Buyers Apply Higher Levels of Power over the Exporters from A Country such as Pakistan: A Perceptual Study
Muhammad Ehsan Malik
Published:Jan - June 2000
The power aspect in conceptualising importer-exporter interaction is very critical, but few studies are available concerning this issue in the context of export distribution channels. This article explores the power-related dimension of importer-exporter interaction.
An effort has been made to discern the pattern of perceptual differences between a number of importer-exporter pairs. It has been found that broadly speaking, the importer exercises higher levels of power over the exporter rather than vice-versa. But the perceptual differences between the importer and exporter do not follow a systematic pattern. Research efforts have significant implications for the exporters’ community, generally in developed and particularly in developing countries such as Pakistan.
KEYWORDS:
Power, behavioural concepts, distribution channels, behavioural paradigms, power framework, developing country.
JEL:
N/A.
Economic Policies Continuation: A Critical View of the Eighth Plan 1993-98
Pervez Tahir and Sara Fatima
Published:Jan - June 2000
Traditionally, five year plans suggest an indicative set of policies to
achieve medium-term targets. Operarionalisation of these policies, however,
takes place through annual plans and budgets, formulation of trade and
monetary policies and fiscal measures deemed necessary and announced during
the course of a year, the so-called mini-budgets. In recent years, while five
year plans have increasingly been seen as analytical frameworks for consistency
rather than tight blueprints for disciline, there have been demands, especially
from the private sector, that economic policies should be announced for a
medium term. Underlying this shift of emphasis are the profound changes that
have occurred in economic organisation and management in the country as
well as the broad sweep of the forces of rapid globalisation. Of the total fixed
investment in Pakistan today, over 60 per cent originates in the private sector.
Only a decade ago, the private sector share was well below 50 per cent.
Similarly, foreign investment used to be an insignificant component of foreign
inflows. It stood at over a billion dollars for three years in a row in the
nineties. The degree of openness of the economy has also increased
significantly. Exports and imports alone constitute one-third of the GDP. The
impact of liberalised financial flows is in addition.
KEYWORDS:
Policy continuity, five year plan, Pakistan, investment, governance, institutions.
JEL:
N/A.
Published:Jan - June 2000
This article is an attempt to explain why poverty has persisted to a
great extent in Pakistan, despite sustained growth of national income, and
to review two publications dealing with poverty and social development,
“Social Development in Pakistan: Annual Review 1999, Social Development
in Economic Crisis”, published by the Social Policy and Development
Centre, (SDP) and “Human Development in South Asia, 1999: The Crisis of
Governance”, published by the Mahbub ul Haq Human Development Centre
(HD).
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, poverty, policy, neo-classical theory, labour, income distribution.
JEL:
N/A.