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Published:Jan - June 2006
The empowerment of women and improvement of their socio-economic status are essential ingredients of economic, political and social development. To achieve these objectives, the Government and NGOs have launched a number of programs in various parts of the country. The Aga Khan Rural Support Program (AKRSP) is working on the same agenda in Northern districts of North West Frontier Province (NWFP). The aim of the present research was to study the gender related interventions introduced by the AKRSP in District Chitral. The study findings show that the gender related interventions introduced by AKRSP have played a key role in the development of rural women in the area under reference. In addition to the provision of water supply schemes, health and credit facilities, training has also been imparted to the local women in different sectors of the rural economy including: agriculture, livestock management, vocational and enterprise development. This training has had a positive effect on economic activities performed by rural women and has enhanced the income of the respondents from various economic activities in their respective fields in the research area. Another major effect of the AKRSP interventions was the saving of time of rural women that had been spent on fetching water before these interventions. Though these interventions have improved the socio-economic conditions of women to a greater extent in the area, their sustainability requires regular monitoring and follow-up of training.
KEYWORDS:
AKRSP, NGO, Gender, Pakistan, NWFP.
JEL: N/A.
Bonded Labor in the Brick Kiln Industry of Pakistan
Muhammad Javaid Iqbal
Published:Jan - June 2006
Bonded labor is a dominant feature of the brick kiln industry of the country. Apparently an outcome of poverty, it is closely linked to the socio--cultural fabric of society. The vicious cycle of bondage subjugates the families physically and economically so that they are unable to break out of the trap despite putting in hard labor. The issue has a number of socioeconomic implications and its solution lies in a multi pronged strategy; economic uplift, social involvement and educational breakthrough of the bonded families. The paper explores the nature and extent of bonded labor in the brick kiln sector and analyzes its repercussions on children and women of the bonded families. It also examines the available legal infrastructure tackling bonded labor. Finally the paper proposes a comprehensive scheme to ameliorate the concerns of bonded families and ways to eradicate the menace from the industry.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, bonded labor, brick kiln, economic uplift, poverty.
JEL: N/A.
Impact of Exchange Market Forces on Pak-Rupee Exchange Rates during Globalization Period: An Empirical Analysis
Syed Adnan Haider Ali Shah Bukhari, Muhammad Shahbaz Akmal, Mohammad Sabihuddin Butt
Published:Jan - June 2006
This paper analyzes the impact of exchange market forces on Pak-Rupee/US dollar exchange rates during the 1965-1971 globalization period. The main findings are that a) the behavior of Pakistan’s fundamentals relative to those of the USA help to explain exchange market forces against the Pak-Rupee; b) during the run up to devaluation in the globalization period the monetary authorities in Pakistan were acting to reduce domestic credit; but that c) additional pressure was brought against the Pak-Rupee from speculative sources. These findings relate to current thinking on the choice of the exchange rate regime as even well behaved fundamentals may not be sufficient to sustain a currency on its peg.
KEYWORDS:
Exchange market forces, pegged exchange rates, realignment expectations.
JEL: C53.
Published:Jan - June 2006
Bhagwati, Jagdish, In Defense of Globalization, Oxford University Press, New York, 2005, pp 308, Price US $ 15.95.
The style is lucid in this provocative book and the author captures the reader’s attention throughout. Yet anyone anywhere including Jagdish Bhagwati who claims that extreme inequality is benign and good for the poor simply cannot by any means be taken too seriously, ‘evidence’ and analysis notwithstanding. Bhagwati, a Columbia University economics professor and author of many books on trade, has a brilliant intellect no doubt, but his thinking and ideas to my mind seem somewhat misdirected.
KEYWORDS:
Globalization, book review, Bhagwati.
JEL: N/A.
Impact of Ownership and Concentration of Land on Schooling
Haroon Jamal and Amir Jahan Khan
Published:July - Dec 2005
The study argues for land reform in Pakistan by demonstrating an inverse relationship between students’ enrollment and land concentration and landlessness for 50 districts of the Punjab and Sindh provinces. With the help of enrollment data from the Population Census, a composite measure is constructed and linked with the inequality in ownership of land and landlessness. While the effect of the development level of districts on schooling is as expected positive and substantial, both the Gini coefficient for land ownership and coefficient of landlessness are negative and statistically significant.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, schooling, land reform, Gini Coefficient.
JEL: N/A.
Industrial Clusters in Developing Countries: A Survey of the Literature
Theresa Thompson Chaudhry
Published:July - Dec 2005
This paper provides a survey of the theoretical and empirical literature relating to industrial clusters. These clusters are groups of firms that are specialized by sector, located in close geographic proximity and consist of mostly small and medium sized enterprises. The benefits to firms from clustering are sometimes referred to as active and passive collective efficiency. Passive collective efficiency refers to benefits accruing to a firm by virtue of being in a cluster, such as access to markets and skilled labor, technological spillovers, flexible specialization, and reduced transaction costs. Active collective efficiency, on the other hand, stems from purposeful cooperation between clustered firms to undertake a large-scale project to upgrade production, such as entering into product marketing.
KEYWORDS:
Industrial clusters, SMEs, transaction costs, passive, active, collective efficiency.
JEL: N/A.
The Death of CAPM: A Critical Review
Nawazish Mirza and Ghalia Shabbir
Published:July - Dec 2005
Most behavioral sciences based on rationality have simplistic assumptions; and the same is true about consumption or investment decisions. The aim of such studies is to maximize either utility or wealth. The entire ‘financial economics’ theory revolves around an investor who wants to maximize his return at some given level of risk. To determine the optimal return at a given level of risk or an optimal risk for a given level of return has been widely discussed in the financial literature consequently raising the issue of asset pricing in financial markets.
KEYWORDS:
Asset pricing, CAPM, financial literature, review.
JEL: N/A.
Published:July - Dec 2005
In a globalized world in which the structures of the financial service industries are changing rapidly and becoming more and more competitive, the cost efficiency of financial institutions along with better quality of service have assumed crucial significance for their long-term sustainability. Hence, the nature of efficiency of financial institutions will determine the prospects of their success in meeting the challenges of a globalized world.
The commercial banks in Pakistan are also facing the challenges of increased competition from foreign commercial banks while their operations over the years have also been called into question. However, the literature, which deals with questions of cost efficiency of commercial banks in Pakistan in a professional manner is scant. The information on relative technical efficiency of commercial banks, if available, can be helpful in designing policy for this important sector.
KEYWORDS:
Financial institutions, Pakistan, commercial banks, sustainability, banking sector.
JEL: N/A.
Published:July - Dec 2005
The purpose of this study is to test the efficiency of the Turkish Markets in terms of the monthly inflation announcement effect. The study examines the reaction of the financial services sector to monthly inflation announcements, particularly, in case of unexpectedly low or high levels of inflation. Strong evidence emerges that the Turkish financial services sector does not react significantly to the announcements that are in line with the expectations. In other words, the cumulative abnormal returns around such inflation announcements are not significantly different from 0. The results of the robustness tests for no news, indicate that the t-statistics calculated by means of the Moving Average Approach are insignificant for the sector, which is in line with the results of the original approach. The results of the two robustness tests are found to be supporting the original findings of the adaptive approach.
KEYWORDS:
Abnormal Returns (ARs), Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs), effects of macroeconomic announcements.
JEL: N/A.
The Exchange Rates and Monetary Dynamics in Pakistan: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach
Muhammad Arshad Khan and Muhammad Zabir Sajjid
Published:July - Dec 2005
In this paper we investigate both the long and short-run relationship between real money balances, real income, inflation rate, foreign interest rate and real effective exchange rate with reference to Pakistan over the period 1982Q2-2002Q4 using ARDL approach which is a newly developed econometric technique. The estimated results indicate that in the long-run real income, inflation rate, foreign interest rate and real effective exchange rate have a significant impact on real money balances in Pakistan. The dynamics of real money demand show that the effects of rate of inflation, foreign interest rate and the real effective exchange rate are much smaller in the short run than long run. The results also reveal that the demand for real money balances in Pakistan is stable, despite the economic reforms pursued by the government since the late 1980s.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, ARDL, exchange rates, monetary policy.
JEL: N/A.
Comparative Advantage and Competitiveness of Wheat Crop in Pakistan
Sofia Anwar, Zakir Hussain, M. Siddique Javed
Published:July - Dec 2005
This study was conducted to analyze the comparative advantage and competitiveness of wheat crop and its implications for resource allocation towards competing crops. The extent of policy distortion and agricultural protection was also determined by the study. The data were collected from APCom on cost of production of wheat crop over the three year period (2001-2003). Two main provinces contributing towards wheat production i.e. Punjab and Sindh were selected as the sample. This data were then averaged to obtain a national scenario. The crop budgets were prepared initially in financial terms and later on economic prices were utilized to evaluate the comparative advantage and competitiveness of the wheat crop. The Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) was selected as the analytical framework. The policy distortions were measured through Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC) and Effective Protection Coefficient (EPC). The Domestic Resource Cost ratio (DRC) was selected as a measuring tool for comparative advantage. Keeping in view the importance of wheat in the economy, the analysis was conducted in two price regimes i.e. import and export parity prices. The analysis results showed that at import parity price Pakistan has a comparative advantage in the production of wheat only as an import substitution crop. At export parity price, Pakistan is not competitive in the world wheat market and has no comparative advantage in wheat production.
KEYWORDS:
PAM, Pakistan, NPC, DRC, EPC, wheat crop.
JEL: N/A.
Corruption and Trade Liberalization: Has the World Bank Anti-Corruption Initiative Worked?
Azam Chaudhry
Published:July - Dec 2005
In September 1997, the World Bank formally began its anti-corruption initiatives by adopting a series of official guidelines and policy statements to aid in anti-corruption strategies. One of the main areas of focus is international trade. According to World Bank (1997), the areas in which corruption is most often found is in, “customs and tax departments, social security agencies, land titling and environment agencies administering regulations and issuing licenses, public works departments and other agencies involved in significant public procurement, police and judiciary, and privatization agencies.” In particular, trade policies can be susceptible to corruption, even though many countries have successfully managed trade policies to promote industrialization. This susceptibility of trade policies to corruption is because they involve allocations made by the authorities on discretionary rather than efficiency bases. Examples of this are the discretionary actions of customs officials, the administrative actions of the authorities in the allocation of import licenses and foreign exchange, and bribery involved in maintaining high rates of tariffs.
KEYWORDS:
World Bank, anti-corruption strategies, international trade.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Sept 2005
Pakistan was one of the few developing countries that had achieved an
average growth rate of over 5 percent over a four decade period ending in
1990. Consequently, the incidence of poverty had declined from 40 percent to
18 percent by the end of 1980s. But the 1990s proved to be a lost decade for
Pakistan; growth in per capita income dropped to slightly over 1 percent.
Poverty resurfaced and about one-third of the population now lives below the
poverty line of $1 per day. Social indicators became worse than those of other
countries with comparable incomes. The country became one of the heavily
indebted countries and was declared as one of the most corrupt countries in
1996. The challenge facing the government which assumed power in October
1999 was to put the economy back to its pre-1990 track.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, economy, developing countries, growth rate.
JEL: N/A.
Entrepreneurship, Private Investment and Economic Growth
Manzur-ul-Haq
Published:Sept 2005
Despite impressive macroeconomic indicators, Pakistan’s economy has not shown the kind of investment and employment generation performance which is required to move the country on to a growth trajectory which will mean significant reduction in poverty levels and substantial improvement in its social indicators.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, private investment, economic growth, macroeconomic indicators.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Sept 2005
It is remarkable that from a situation of default and unsustainable fiscal and balance of payments deficit only a few years back, Pakistan has come out of the debt trap, balance of payments turned surplus1, and fiscal deficit has declined below 4 percent of GDP. However, sharp increase in the inflation rate, widening trade deficit and re-emergence of balance of payments deficit in the current year are quite worrisome.
With the widening of the balance of payments deficit and the possibility that fiscal deficit may start rising as the government provides for the higher levels of public expenditure, would the debt problem not emerge once again? Bilquees (2003) has examined the growth of debt over the 1980-81 to 2002-03 period by de-composing the effect of primary deficit, interest rates and exchange rate adjustments. She argues that primary deficits are basic to the growth of debt. Higher government public expenditure compared to its resources leads to higher domestic as well as external borrowings. The external borrowing with limited repayment capacity results in exchange rate depreciation with consequent implications for the debt. The differential between interest rates and growth of GDP also have implications for the debt but in Pakistan it did not result in rising debt ratio because the interest rates have always remained lower than the growth rate.
KEYWORDS:
GDP, debt, debt trap, payment, surplus.
JEL: N/A.
Investment in Education and Skill Development
Sartaj Aziz
Published:Sept 2005
“Pakistan’s investment in its people today not only falls below any decent concept of national governance; we are simply not preparing the nation for technological challenges of the 21st century. Where do we start in such a wasteland of human neglect? The situation cannot be reversed overnight. It would require considerable investment in human development over a fairly long period of time.” Dr. Mahbubul Haq:
A National Agenda: Critical Choices for Pakistan's Future: 1993
According to the traditional view in the development debate of the 1960s, land, labor and capital were identified as the main factors of production and within these the focus was on expanding capital by increasing investment to at least 15 percent of GDP to achieve a growth rate of at least 5 percent.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, development, education.
JEL: N/A.
Money Supply, Inflation and Economic Growth: Issues in Monetary Management in Pakistan
M. Ashraf Janjua
Published:Sept 2005
The experience of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) in conducting the monetary policy of the country over the years comprises a whole range of regimes. While the overall objectives of monetary policy have remained the same, policy contents – intermediate targets, choice of instruments and controls etc. – have varied considerably over the years.
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, SBP, inflation, economic growth, monetary policy.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Sept 2005
In the heyday of the five year plans in Pakistan, the common
expressions for the officials dealing with the economy and their
institutional affiliations were “planners” and “planning machinery.” The
fiscal crisis of the state and the consequent installation of regimes of
stabilization, structural adjustment and reform gave birth to usages such
as “economic manager,” “economic management” and “economic team.” It
has also marked a shift from the long and medium-term to the near-and
short-term. This paper, however, adheres to the broader view of the
management of the economy and its institutions taken by Anmad and
Amjad in the eighties. According to them, “National economic
management is a new but growing science. The developing world's
experience of the recent decades underlines the fact that economic and
social progress is an induced process. Governments are not only called
upon to initiate the development process but are also required to
influence its composition, pace, tone, and direction through an
appropriate policy-mix. A consistent framework encompassing various
policies within the bounds of an overall national strategy needs to be
worked out by the national policy-makers.” These authors also pointed out
that there was a gap between the increasing requirements of management
and the capabilities of individuals and institutions. “Economic
management has thus become a critical area for study as well as
introspection.”1
KEYWORDS:
Pakistan, economy, institutional machinery, institutions, national economic management.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Sept 2005
Despite some slight improvement in the last two years the overall
employment and labor market situation continues to give rise to serious
concern and needs to be given the highest attention in economic and social
policy making in Pakistan. The rise in unemployment rate from around 3
per cent in the early 1990s to around 8 per cent in recent years in a
country where few people can afford not to work for a lack of any effective
safety net, reflects the emergence of a serious imbalance in the labor
market. This more than doubling of the unemployed from around 1 million
in 1990 to around 3.5 million in 2003-04 has been, as we shall argue, a
major contributory factor in the rise in poverty during the 1990s. The
severity of the employment problem is reflected in the fact that
unemployment in recent years has been higher amongst the poor than the
non-poor in the labor force.
KEYWORDS:
Poverty reduction, employment, Pakistan, labor market, unemployment.
JEL: N/A.
Governing the State: Problems Specific to Pakistan
Khaled Ahmed
Published:Sept 2005
In our environment governance usually means law and order but in its broadest sense it means thinking about ‘how to steer the economy and society, and how to reach collective goals’. Multinational institutions hold seminars on governance but carefully avoid discussions impinging on the third world scale’s sovereignty; they focus instead on administrative reform, decentralization, elimination of red tape and corruption. But governance has other ramifications that must be considered. Unless a state does a whole array of things to position itself appropriately, it cannot hope to have good governance1.
KEYWORDS:
Governance, Pakistan, reform, bureaucracy, administration.
JEL: N/A.
