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What use is the Neo-Classical Theory of International Trade?
Sikander Rahim
Published:Jan - June 1999
International economic policy is now more under the sway of
orthodox economics than it has ever been. The main international economic
institutions, the IMF, the World Bank, the WTO, and the major developed
economies are unremitting advocates of free trade and impose their views on
the developing countries. And the developing countries, whose attempts at
economic development through protection have mostly failed, are on the
whole inclined to accept these views. Over the last twenty years economic
policy in these countries has more and more come to be formulated by
orthodox neo-classical economists, often described in the press as
“reformers”, who advocate more reliance on markets and less protection
against imports.
KEYWORDS:
International trade, neo-classical theory, shortcomings, specialisation, models, Heckscher-Ohlin, Haberler, Bensusan-Butt, mechanised production.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1999
Similar to most countries, the objectives of the taxation system in
Pakistan are not well-defined. Historically, the primary objective has been
resource generation for the government. The taxation system has
simultaneously addressed the secondary objectives of promoting area/sectorspecific economic activities, discouraging undesired imports/production,
encouraging savings and investment. These objectives were met through a
variety of tax concessions and exemptions, rebates and credits, differentiated
tax rates and tariffs. The revenue shortfalls/leakages resulting from
preferential tax treatment of the desired activities were offset through
appropriate changes in various fiscal instruments, e.g. high tax rates and
tariffs, regulatory duties, extended withholding and presumptive taxes,
excise duties on services, and many more. These measures, in turn,
complicated the taxation system and adversely affected the equity, neutrality
and progressivity thereof.
KEYWORDS:
Tax policy, preferential tax treatment, structural reforms, administration, federal revenue.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1999
Ishrat Hussain, a former Pakistani civil servant and currently a World
Bank official, has been writing on Pakistan's economy for the national print
media. Much like the professional economist that he is, his views reflect an
objective approach to a vast range of economic issues. It was now time for
him to correlate his analysis of individual problems and sectors to a
macroeconomic framework and make some sense out of Pakistan's baffling
styles of economic management. How could a compact economy with a rich
resource endowment be reduced to the position of a basket case?
Hussain's hypothesis: a small group of elites managed to "hijack the
state" and "rig the market" for its own exclusive benefit. The "Elitist State"
now controls both the private and public sector. No matter which way the
economy turns ___ market mechanism or state control ___, the goodies
will inevitably land, and are actually landing, in the hands of the controlling
elites
KEYWORDS:
Book review, elite, Pakistan, privatisation, nationalisation, illiberalism, market mechanisms.
JEL: N/A.
Book Reviews: Reasons for Hope: Instructive Experiences in Rural Development
Mir Annice Mahmood
Published:Jan - June 1999
The development of rural areas is now becoming one of the major
objectives of government policy in less developed countries. It has become
part of policy simply because governments in developing countries are
beginning to realise that to tackle poverty effectively, and to reduce the
pressure on urban centres, income levels, as well as the quality of life in
rural areas has to be made significantly attractive to prevent people from
migrating to the relatively higher income urban areas. Rapid urbanisation in
many developing countries has resulted in increased social stress which is
reflected in high crime rates, and a substantial decline in social services such
as education and health, water supply and sanitation, electricity and
housing, etc. The developing countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America are
afflicted with both problems - rural poverty/environmental degradation and
a rapidly urbanising sector that is estimated to double every twelve to
fifteen years.
KEYWORDS:
Book review, rural development, urbanisation, rural poverty.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1999
This is undoubtedly a most useful, updated collection of articles on
various aspects of the Pakistani canvas. It is a valuable contribution given the
relative paucity of material and literature on such topics. Aside from the
somewhat tedious chapter on foreign policy, tiresome by virtue mainly of its
bulk (stretching over a total of about a hundred pages in its entirety), the
articles make for interesting and refreshing reading for not merely the
specialist but the layperson as well.
If length is any indication of importance, then surely it is a case of
misplaced priorities to have given so much space to a subject such as foreign
policy and, in comparison, the pieces on such vitally crucial issues as
population planning and human rights are allocated, for whatever reason, a
considerably less quantum of space in the book.
KEYWORDS:
Book review, Pakistan, economic development, human rights.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1999
This is the second edition of Dr. Saeed Shafqat's popular and well
received book, the first edition of which came out in 1995. Pakistan studies
has been an integral part of the country's educational syllabi and competitive
examinations for many years now. Unfortunately the syllabi for our school,
college and university students reflect a narrow definition of the subject.
Not much attention has been paid to historical authenticity and accuracy of
facts. The approach in general is simplistic and one is sorry to note,
jingoistic. No wonder this discipline, whose importance cannot be
overemphasised, fails to capture the minds and imagination of the young
students and the level of perceptions manifested by its study are abysmally
low. There is need to raise the tone and level of debate and to move beyond
the Pakistan Movement to which this subject has largely been confined.
Even here the treatment is by and large narrow and simplistic.
KEYWORDS:
Book Review, Pakistan studies, Pakistan Movement, syllabi, Pakistan.
JEL: N/A.
Structural Adjustment and Health in Pakistan
Shahrukh Rafi Khan and Sajid Kazmi
Published:July - Dec 1998
Government health expenditures as a percentage of GDP have
declined in Pakistan, though not in absolute real terms, over the structural
adjustment period. Progress over this period is evident on a number of health
indicators. However, Pakistan still lags far behind the means of low income
countries and South Asian countries in all child survival statistics. In view of
this, and since the evidence shows a significant and sizeable association of
public sector health expenditures and the decline in infant mortality rates,
there seems little justification in cutting public sector expenditures.
KEYWORDS:
Government, Pakistan, government health expenditures, public sector expenditures, basic health unites, rural health centres, Social Action Plan, SAP, service delivery.
JEL: N/A.
Published:July - Dec 1998
The assumption that people were to be given theatre was of course
in keeping with the government fiction that people were to be given
development particularly if they behaved themselves. (Wa Thiong’o,
1986:41)
Despite our short history, the norms of scholarship in Pakistan have
already become well entrenched: the grooves already seem so deep that
digging ourselves out of them may present some difficulties. (One example
of that in the social sciences generally, and political science and history in
particular, is the retelling of the major historical events and noting major
trends without offering any remarkably new interpretations). The need, in
other words, of newer and different understanding of where we are and how
we got there is considerable. One purpose of introducing Escobar’s (1997)
Encountering Development and related materials is to offer an opportunity
to get out of these academic ruts. Specifically, two exits are simultaneously
provided by Escobar; one lets us interrogate the dominant narrative of
development, and the other enables us to consider the possibilities that
postmodernism opens up. He applies the latter to the former, which is an
uncomplicated way to make what is valuable in postmodernism clear and
accessible. (In what follows, the numbers in parenthesis refer to pages in
Escobar’s work).
KEYWORDS:
Development, postmodernism, international organisations, Third World, colonialism.
JEL: N/A.
Mandatory Rules of Law in International Business Arbitration
S.M. Hyder Razvi
Published:July - Dec 1998
Of all mankind’s adventures in search of peace and justice,
arbitration is amongst the earliest. Long before law was established, or
courts were organised, or judges had formulated principles of law, man had
resorted to arbitration for the resolution of discord, the adjustment of
differences and the settlement of disputes.
One of the recurring themes in International Business Arbitration is
the tension between the will of the parties and the ability of states of
regulate the conduct of arbitration proceedings. The general trend in
international commercial arbitration is to respect, within limits, the will of
the parties regarding the choice of law and the procedure for carrying out
their arbitration. Thus, party autonomy is recognised as one of the cardinal
elements of international business arbitration.
KEYWORDS:
International business arbitration, proceedings, arbitration international, arbitration, disputes.
JEL: N/A.
Published:July - Dec 1998
This study raises policy issues arising from the fact that the present
tax-expenditure policies and institutional set-up at both the provincial and
local government levels of the Province of the Punjab are dated and need
revision.
There is now an active awareness within the Punjab Province that
substantial changes are necessary. The broad outlines of these required
changes which have been identified in this study, as follows:
i) The Provincial Government needs to recognise that the 1997
National Finance Commission (NFC) Award’s projected high level of
Federal Divisible Pool Revenues are unlikely to materialise in the
light of the substantial changes made in tax policies by the post
1997- Award Federal Government as well as by the depressed state
of the economy. As a result the historical pattern of Federal
Transfers covering more than 85 per cent of consolidated Punjab
Provincial and Local Government expenditures is unlikely to be ever
repeated. In fact the 1997-98 coverage of 75 per cent is likely to go
down even further and this gap needs to be filled by active resource
mobilisation and expenditure curtailment measures.
KEYWORDS:
Fiscal resources, tax collection, local governments, provincial governments, income tax, provincial excises, finances, provincial revenues.
JEL: N/A.
Published:July - Dec 1998
A conference on Science and Economic Development was held at
Hotel Pearl Continental, Lahore on 1-2 December, 1997. The event was
sponsored and organised by the Lahore School of Economics. The World
Bank provided a grant to help meet the cost of participant travel and
subsistence.
The conference brought together Pakistan’s leading businessmen,
scientists, engineers, and economists to discuss and develop ideas on how to
improve Pakistan’s state of science and technology (S&T) capabilities with a
view to accelerating the country’s pace of economic development,
strengthening its competitive position in the global economy, and preparing
it for the challenges of the 21st century.
The conference calendar and the list of participants can be found in
the Annex.
KEYWORDS:
Conference report, science, Pakistan, economic development, promotion of science and technology, national system of innovation.
JEL: N/A.
Appraisal of Higher Education Academic Staff
Rukhsana Zia
Published:July - Dec 1998
The Annual Confidential Report is a government document and is
used by all government departments. The document is used for all
employees of Grade 16 and above. The same document is used for the
teaching staff as well. The inefficiency of the document to present an
appropriate appraisal of scholarship characteristics of the higher education
academic staff is evident. This study will focus on identifying various factors
that ought to be assessed to provide information about the performance of
the teaching staff and help formulate an effective format to achieve the
objectives of appraisal.
KEYWORDS:
Higher Education, Pakistan, Higher Education Academic Staff, HEAS.
JEL: N/A.
The Exchange Rate and its Effects: An Overvalued Quantity?
Sikander Rahim
Published:July - Dec 1998
The exchange rate poses an awkward problem; if the same goods are
produced by and traded between different countries and if international
trade is competitive, the prices of such goods in any country will be the
same, regardless of the country of origin. The law of one price must hold
within each country; exchange rate movements cannot alter the relative
prices in the same country of competing goods according to country of
origin. There is, then, no general a priori reason why purchasers in a given
country should choose the product of one country rather than the
competing product of another and the standard argument, that changes in
exchange rates alter the volumes of imports and exports through such
relative price changes, cannot hold for such goods. The conclusion is that, if
most of the imports and exports of a country are goods that have
international competition, there is no reason that exchange rate changes will
have predictable effects on its balance of trade
KEYWORDS:
Exchange rate, balance of goods, unemployment, trade, price comparison, imported and domestic goods.
JEL: N/A.
Comment: The State and Civil Society in Pakistan
I. A. Rehman
Published:July - Dec 1998
The state of Pakistan appears to have embarked upon a process of
transforming itself. It faces a host of grave socio-political and economic
issues which manifestly do not yield to the traditional style of governance. It
has also realised that its decayed and outdated administrative system cannot
enable it to discharge its social sector obligations even on the limited scale
the population has become used to. Thus, on the one hand, it is availing of
the opportunities afforded by the rhetoric of globalisation and market
economy, and withdrawing from whatever social responsibilities to the
people it hitherto recognised - in the areas of education, health,
employment, communications, public utilities, etc. On the other hand, it is
trying to reinforce its coercive powers through increased reliance on
majoritarianism, authoritarian approaches to issues generally reserved for
democratic decision-making, and short-circuiting of judicial processes.
KEYWORDS:
Comment, Civil society, Pakistan, representative government, institutional safeguards.
JEL: N/A.
Book Reviews: Structural Adjustment, Global Trade and the New Political Economy of Development
Mir Annice Mahmood
Published:July - Dec 1998
Biplab Dasgupta. Structural Adjustment Global Trade and the New
Political Economy of Development. New Delhi. Sage Publications. 1998.
Price Indian Rupees 450 (hardback).
The author has written a very topical book the relevance of which
cannot be understated. At the core of the book the author discusses the
concept of the new political economy of development which forms the
theoretical underpinnings that lie behind the structural adjustment/
stabilisation programmes of the international financial institutions such as
the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.
Biplab Dasgupta has very concisely and succinctly analysed the new
political economy of development which has, as its centre-piece, a blind
faith in the operation of free-market forces. This can be traced back to the
Reagan and Thatcher years, which saw a shift away from interventionist
policies to allowing the markets to decide.
KEYWORDS:
Book review, structural adjustment, Pareto-optimality, political economy of development, developing countries.
JEL: N/A.
Dynamics of Agricultural Productivity and Poverty in Pakistan
S.M. Turab Hussain & Mohammad Ishfaq
Published:Jan - June 1998
This paper addresses two topics which essentially compliment each
other. The first is the empirical investigation of the relationship between
aggregate agricultural productivity and poverty in Pakistan through the
course of time. The second is the estimation of the central inputs or
determinants of agricultural production, again on an aggregate level and
through time. The main empirical findings of this research suggest that
increases in agricultural productivity have alleviated poverty in Pakistan but
not to the extent to which the negative forces of a high population growth
and increasing food prices have worsened its incidence. In the case of the
determinants of agricultural productivity, the results show that accompanied
with the size of the cropped area, fertiliser off-take has played the most
significant and powerful role in increasing agricultural productivity through
time in Pakistan, especially at the onset of the Green Revolution __ the
introduction of High Yield Variety crops and seeds in the late sixties.
KEYWORDS:
Agricultural productivity, rural poverty, Pakistan, alleviation of poverty.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1998
The crisis in East Asia has tempered the loud enthusiasm of many
economists, magazines and multilateral institutions for unbridled
international flows of capital. Since its start some prominent economists and
financiers have expressed doubts that market mechanisms, left to
themselves, necessarily end with a desirable outcome. Perhaps this is the
first step to questioning whether free flows of capital between countries are
desirable at all.
Oddly enough, despite all that has been written in textbooks and
journals extolling international capital flows and all the romanticisation of
‘globalisation’ in television advertisements, there appears to be no systematic
examination of the gains and losses to be expected from them. One reason
may be that economic theory, as it stands now, is ill suited to carrying out
such an examination. International economic theory has two strands, the
one to explain how trade in finished products and raw materials is
determined by comparative advantages and the other, using quite separate
assumptions, to explain the balance of payments. In the former it is assumed
that capital flows are negligible, in the latter they do little more than
accommodate trade imbalances. Neither address the question of what
determines capital movements or what their effects might be.
KEYWORDS:
Globalisation, market mechanisms, balance of payments, economic development, capital movements, trade barriers..
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1998
The majority of Pakistani womanhood belongs to the silent,
invisible peasantry in the rural areas. Essentially belonging to an
underdeveloped region, the rural female toils relentlessly from morning
till night. Her status is highly complex. In certain roles she is exalted; on
other counts her very being is negated, which, when translated to human
development indicators, depicts the profile of a woman with a very
disadvantaged status, in fact, one of the lowest in the world. This study
collects and collates data to present the profile of the rural female of
Pakistan. It clearly shows that without concrete moves to do so, the mere
acceptance and recognition of her contribution to society would do much
to elevate her status.
In Pakistan the role of the woman is strongly defined by religious
and cultural/social norms. Due to illiteracy and misinterpretation, the
latter is vastly perpetuated (UNESCAP 1997 p 3) under the garb of the
former. There is “widespread misconception about the place Islam accords
to women...” (Report of the Commission of Inquiry for Women 1997 p ii).
Pakistan is a classic case where steady economic growth has not been
accompanied by concurrent growth in the social sector. Within the
confines of this phenomenon, the rural population suffers from inequitable
distribution of resource availability and human development services. The
condition of rural women is not hard to conceptualise, given the above
circumstances.
KEYWORDS:
Profile, Rural Woman, Pakistan.
JEL: N/A.
Published:Jan - June 1998
Is there a conflict between development on the one hand and
democracy and/or human rights on the other? The issue began to be
seriously examined some forty years ago1 and the controversy has simmered
because there has been empirical evidence to indicate at least some shortterm
validity to those who do see a conflict and press the primacy of
growth. They take off from premises like Einstein’s, “An empty stomach
makes a poor political adviser.”
The controversy in recent years has not so much been for and
against human rights as over which category of it should have precedence:
civil and political rights or economic, social and cultural rights. Originally,
the bill of rights had remained confined only to the first category. But after
World War II, when the newly formed United Nations began to consider the
need for a universal declaration and, later, for a binding covenant on the
subject, inclusion of economic, social and cultural rights was vehemently
and successfully argued, especially by the socialist bloc of countries.
Later the issue even became an element in the cold war. While the
West assumed the title of ‘Free World’ on the basis of its relative
guarantees of civil and political rights, the East claimed credit for its
primacy to economic rights. The developing countries too, unable or
uninclined for various reasons and to varying degrees to accept international
standards in guaranteeing the freedoms to their people, began when
challenged to claim an overriding need to concentrate on the economic
KEYWORDS:
controversy, democracy, growth, United Nations, economic, social and cultural rights.
JEL: N/A.
Upgrading Pre-Literacy Skills of Disadvantaged Children
Shireen Zafarullah
Published:Jan - June 1998
Prescription of a common syllabus for all children in Pakistan is the
demand of social activists. The author feels that this is not a feasible
proposal at this time as there is a huge gap between the life experiences in
the two worlds that exist within Pakistan ---the world of the privileged and
the world of the deprived. Children of the poor fail to develop certain
essential pre-literacy skills (Zafarullah, 1996) and are therefore unable to
compete with their more fortunate counterparts. These underprivileged
children lack an orientation towards literacy:
1. They lack certain essential pre-literacy skills,
2. Their home language is different from the school language,
3. They lack the motivation to become literate.
Privileged children, on the other hand, have few such shortcomings.
In fact they are overly motivated, competent and competitive in the area of
school learning. Hence, if we have a combined syllabus we will either have
to downgrade the educational standard of the advanced children (bringing
them down to the level of the backward children) or up-grade the
disadvantaged children and take them closer to the level of their more
fortunate counterparts. The second option is obviously more desirable.
This paper briefly describes some of the methods employed by the
researcher to rapidly upgrade under-privileged children before and during
elementary schooling. These methods have been implemented and tested by
teams led by the researcher and have proved dramatically successful.
KEYWORDS:
Competition,
Pakistan,
economic growth.
JEL: N/A.