Recent Experience and Future Prospects of Pakistan’s Trade with China
doi: https://doi.org/10.35536/lje.2009.v14.isp.a5
Musleh-ud Din, Ejaz Ghani and Usman Qadir
Abstract
This paper examines the prospects of expanding bilateral trade between Pakistan and China particularly in the context of the recently signed free trade agreement between the two countries. Using the augmented gravity model in the tradition of Rose (2004), the paper shows that there is significant potential for the expansion of bilateral trade between the two countries as a result of the free trade agreement. The paper also analyzes bilateral trade flows between the two countries in terms of a trade specialization index and the Grubel-Lloyd index of intra-industry trade. We show that bilateral trade between the two countries is heavily tilted in favor of China and that this situation may persist in the short term.
Keywords
Pakistan, China, FTA, Pak-China, trade patterns, export diversification